A new poll is showing bad news for anti-Trump Senator Lisa Murkowski in her home state of Alaska.
The poll, conducted by Change Research, shows Murkowski trailing Republican rival Kelly Tshibaka, a bad sign for the incumbent especially in light of her state’s new voting rules.
As Jim Ellis noted in his newsletter:
The poll (5/22-25; released 6/9; 1,023 AK likely voters; online) tested Ms. Murkowski against announced Republican opponent Kelly Tshibaka, the former Alaska Commissioner of Administration, Dr. Al Gross, the 2020 Senate Democratic nominee who lost 54-41% to Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan, and John Wayne Howe of the Alaska Independence Party.
In 2020, Alaska voters adopted a new ballot procedure initiative that changes the state’s nomination system into a unique “top four” jungle primary. This means the four candidates attracting the most votes in the initial election all advance into the general election.…
The other serious Change Research finding related to Sen. Murkowski’s standing among the likely Republican voter segment. Here, the Senator rates a terrible 6:84% favorable to unfavorable. Her standing among the sampled Republicans largely accounts for her statewide 26:59% upside-down favorability index. Ironically, among Democrats, her ratio is 48:32% positive to negative.
The new voting system and Sen. Murkowski’s poor standing within the Alaska electorate suggests the 2022 campaign in the Last Frontier will be a race that will draw a great deal of national attention.